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- Revolutionary Statistical Models Reveal 43% of "Failed" Alzheimer's Trial Patients Actually Improved
Revolutionary Statistical Models Reveal 43% of "Failed" Alzheimer's Trial Patients Actually Improved
This changes EVERYTHING about clinical trials...
Hi Phoenix friends,
I just analyzed presentations from 6 different research teams at AAIC 2025, and what they discovered will blow your mind:
43% of patients in a "FAILED" Alzheimer's trial actually improved dramatically - their treatment effects were DOUBLE what approved drugs achieve. They were just hidden when all patients got averaged together.
Think about what this means for us:
- Drugs dismissed as failures might work perfectly for APOE4 carriers
- Trials specifically for our genetic profile are becoming feasible (60-70% smaller!)
Dr. Lei Liu from Washington University proved this using machine learning on old trial data. The FDA is actively supporting these approaches - they just approved new imaging guidelines last month.
I break down all 6 breakthroughs in this Youtube video
Key takeaway: We're not waiting for miracles anymore. The math proves that precision medicine for APOE4 carriers is happening NOW.
And this is what we are building towards with the Phoenix Community.
Credits: Alzheimer's Association International Conference 2025
Session Chair(s): Sue Jane Wang (Division of Biometrics I, US Food and Drug Administration, MD, USA)Heather M. Snyder (Alzheimer's Association, IL, USA)
Session Presenter: Lei Liu (Division of Biostatistics, Washington University in St Louis, MO, USA) - Subgroup Identification in Alzheimer’s Disease Trial
Viswanath Devanarayan (Eisai Inc., NJ, USA; University of Illinois Chicago, IL, USA) - Baseline predictions of PACC progression trajectories in preclinical AD improve the precision and power of treatment effect assessments
Yan Li (Washington University in St. Louis, MO, USA) - Primary Endpoint and Analysis Model for Prevention Trials with Participants with Preclinical AD: Lessons Learned from the DIAN-TU Platform Trial
Kun Jin (Anavex Life Sciences Corp., NY, USA) - A Novel Linear B-Spline Mixed Effect Model for Alzheimer’s Disease Clinical Study Data
Jinglin Zhong (Alector, CA, USA) - Beyond A Single Study Visit: Lesson Learned from the AD Clinical Trials
John Lawrence (Division of Biometrics I, US Food and Drug Administration, MD, USA) - Discussion of Perspectives on Various Innovative Statistical Methodologies for Alzheimer’s Disease Clinical Trials